A supply chain built around extraction
Smugglers reportedly bundle HBM with low-cost server processors whose performance falls below the export threshold, then ship the lots to China through Hong Kong. Workshops there separate the memory chips from the processors. The process has a high failure rate, but the profits make it worthwhile.
For buyers, the economics are already punishing:
The broader trade points to a growing enforcement problem. By May, South Korea’s customs service had uncovered $560 million in trade violations, more than in all of the previous year. A third of that total involved strategic goods, including chips exported without permission or with false declarations.
The missing number
I think the most revealing detail is not the claimed performance gain, but the gap between that claim and the supply chain needed to make it useful. The announcement offers no estimate of how many Ascend 960DT chips Huawei can deliver with reliable memory, or how much customers will pay once the cost and losses from salvaged HBM are included.
That silence matters because asking customers to find memory does not remove the shortage; it transfers the procurement risk to them. If black-market HBM is both expensive and unreliable, the practical limit on the chip may be set less by its performance than by how many usable memory modules customers can secure.
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